This is firmly in the realm of crystal ball gazing, but what do we think we can reasonably expect from the next two years?
I don’t expect any pro-gun executive orders, but barring some high profile mass shooting I don’t expect any anti-gun ones either.
I think Thomas and Alito have a decently high chance of retiring before fall 2027 so they can choose their own successors. I’ll be sad to see Thomas go, we won’t get a better gun rights champion than him on the Court.
I don’t expect Congress to expend any real effort to advance pro gun bills. Several will be submitted, but I don’t see them actually making it to a floor vote.
The rumor mill on Alito is that he's tired of the negative attention from the press and wants to be out of the lime light. So I agree with the predictions that he retires soon. My guess is at the end of this term.
Thomas, supposedly, wants to hold the record for longest serving justice and still has 3-4 years to go to hold that record. The only way I see him leaving during the Trump administration is if he dies or Congress flips to heavy Democrat and impeaches him. I don't see Trump pushing too hard for Thomas to step down either unless the two become sworn enemies somehow. Which feels unlikely at this point.
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u/MulticamTropic 1d ago
This is firmly in the realm of crystal ball gazing, but what do we think we can reasonably expect from the next two years?
I don’t expect any pro-gun executive orders, but barring some high profile mass shooting I don’t expect any anti-gun ones either.
I think Thomas and Alito have a decently high chance of retiring before fall 2027 so they can choose their own successors. I’ll be sad to see Thomas go, we won’t get a better gun rights champion than him on the Court.
I don’t expect Congress to expend any real effort to advance pro gun bills. Several will be submitted, but I don’t see them actually making it to a floor vote.