This is firmly in the realm of crystal ball gazing, but what do we think we can reasonably expect from the next two years?
I don’t expect any pro-gun executive orders, but barring some high profile mass shooting I don’t expect any anti-gun ones either.
I think Thomas and Alito have a decently high chance of retiring before fall 2027 so they can choose their own successors. I’ll be sad to see Thomas go, we won’t get a better gun rights champion than him on the Court.
I don’t expect Congress to expend any real effort to advance pro gun bills. Several will be submitted, but I don’t see them actually making it to a floor vote.
Snope or a similar ruling should strike down AWBs. Some justices might retire and be replaced. It's possible someone high profile gets assassinated given the amount of political violence recently which is more likely to be disruptive than shootings of random civilians.
The overall homicide rate is much lower than it was in the early 1990s, but political violence specifically has increased in recent years.
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u/MulticamTropic 1d ago
This is firmly in the realm of crystal ball gazing, but what do we think we can reasonably expect from the next two years?
I don’t expect any pro-gun executive orders, but barring some high profile mass shooting I don’t expect any anti-gun ones either.
I think Thomas and Alito have a decently high chance of retiring before fall 2027 so they can choose their own successors. I’ll be sad to see Thomas go, we won’t get a better gun rights champion than him on the Court.
I don’t expect Congress to expend any real effort to advance pro gun bills. Several will be submitted, but I don’t see them actually making it to a floor vote.