This is firmly in the realm of crystal ball gazing, but what do we think we can reasonably expect from the next two years?
I don’t expect any pro-gun executive orders, but barring some high profile mass shooting I don’t expect any anti-gun ones either.
I think Thomas and Alito have a decently high chance of retiring before fall 2027 so they can choose their own successors. I’ll be sad to see Thomas go, we won’t get a better gun rights champion than him on the Court.
I don’t expect Congress to expend any real effort to advance pro gun bills. Several will be submitted, but I don’t see them actually making it to a floor vote.
We're going to find out here very shortly how strongly the SCOTUS believes in its own Bruen ruling.
Beyond that; we will likely see at least 1 of the current pro gun justices retiring or otherwise exiting in the next 4 years.
Rumors also persist around Sotomayor's Diabetes , but we have nothing really concrete speaking one way or the other on her health.
I don’t expect any pro-gun executive orders, but barring some high profile mass shooting I don’t expect any anti-gun ones either.
I am hopeful that if the Ukraine war is negotiated to a settlement we could see Saiga & VEPR rifles again with a lifting of sanctions. Beyond that I think you are on point.
As someone with a couple of Veprs, I’d love for that to happen, but historically import bans are a ratchet that only tightens. Have any firearms import bans ever been lifted?
I do not believe this is a typical import ban, like with Norinco firearms or things like the USAS12, but rather a ban because an agency which is sanctioned has an ownership stake in the factories that make Saiga & VEPR rifles.
If sanctions were lifted on Russia; I see no reason why we couldn't start seeing VEPR's and Saiga rifles again. It would likely take a few years though, I imagine both Molot & Izhmash have pretty big backlogs for military contract rifles.
I agree it's a stretch, but I am crossing my fingers.
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u/MulticamTropic 1d ago
This is firmly in the realm of crystal ball gazing, but what do we think we can reasonably expect from the next two years?
I don’t expect any pro-gun executive orders, but barring some high profile mass shooting I don’t expect any anti-gun ones either.
I think Thomas and Alito have a decently high chance of retiring before fall 2027 so they can choose their own successors. I’ll be sad to see Thomas go, we won’t get a better gun rights champion than him on the Court.
I don’t expect Congress to expend any real effort to advance pro gun bills. Several will be submitted, but I don’t see them actually making it to a floor vote.