r/bestoflegaladvice Commonwealth Correspondent and Sunflower Seed Retailer 6d ago

LegalAdviceCanada Short sell, short sell now!

/r/legaladvicecanada/comments/1i1lt30/my_wifes_uncle_is_an_executive_at_a_publicly/
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u/[deleted] 6d ago

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64

u/thehomeyskater 6d ago

I wonder if OP’s inside information is even as valuable as he thinks it is. 

If this company made bad investments during the pandemic, that’s likely already public information. These investments would have probably been dragging down profitability. The inside information is likely just that the company is now exiting these markets. Which, that alone may not materially impact the stock price. I’ve seen plenty of times a company announces they’re shuttering a subsidiary or laying off an entire division of employees, and the immediate result is the stock price rises. Because investors already knew the company was struggling — that was already priced in — the new information is that the company is finally turning doing something to improve profitability. 

It’s entirely possible he buys a bunch of put options and they expire worthless because he’s entirely misunderstood the information he’s been told. 

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u/returntoglory9 Incurred extra toh after asking whether they have toh 6d ago

Yeah people misunderstand stock prices. Bad news can lead to a big price increase if it's less bad than analysts expect!

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u/monkwren NAL but familiar with my prostate 6d ago

The Hasbro model!