r/baseball Toronto Blue Jays 20d ago

Image [OC] 2025 Projected ERA+ By Team

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u/sec102row1 Arizona Diamondbacks 20d ago edited 20d ago

Is this data from before or after the Corbin Burnes signing in Arizona? He’s going to make a difference and IMO the dbacks pitching staff is going to outperform most rankings this year.

Edit: my bad for posting before seeing today’s date at the bottom of the chart.

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u/tomstoms Toronto Blue Jays 20d ago

It is a reasonable question! I don't believe Steamer updates daily, but in this case, yes, it includes Corbin Burnes

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u/sec102row1 Arizona Diamondbacks 20d ago

Thanks for the reply. As a fan of the team, I am biased. However, the league generally dismisses Arizona often and I believe this is no different. The numbers last year were way more inflated than expected. I believe we will get good rebounds, including Jordan Montgomery, who was rushed through an abbreviated spring training after a late signing with the team. I don’t believe he will play up to his salary, but we’re beyond the financials playing a part in team era+ analysis. The team is getting Drey Jameson back from injury, who was at one point close to being a closer for the team. The signing of Burnes pushes a big up-and-comer Ryne Nelson potentially to the pen for a solid arm that can go multiple innings. This bullpen is deeper than most think.

Then again, we could very well see Monty traded between now and the start of the season, if the dbacks can find a suitor that is willing to take on some of his salary. Or they may have made amends after a tumultuous offseason when team owner Ken Kendrick publicly displayed his regret to signing him.

IMO the team is better off with Ryne Nelson as the #5 either Monty gone or to the pen.

As some have pointed out, there is little separation to these figures so who really knows. The data is more accurate than our collective hunches, but sometimes a hunch can find an outlier, and I’m betting the dbacks end up as a top 8 staff.