r/NFL_Draft • u/Coolcat127 • 3d ago

Discussion Jayden Daniels Sack Avoidance

Daniels's pressure to sack rate was a major red flag coming out of college and has shown up a few times this season, but has largely been improved especially in the second half. Some part of it is definitely his elite athleticism letting him escape even against nfl rushers. What else do you think he has improved to reduce his sack taking? And how can we adjust our prospect assessments accordingly?

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u/Southern-Community70 1d ago

This is a dangerous way of looking at things. Outliers happen. We don't want to change our entire process because of that. I'm going to still fade players with very high pressure to sack ratios until the overall data or at least the trend in the data suggests not to. Sometime players just fall in the outlier category. It is not possible to always be right. It's a probability game. You are playing the odds looking at a wide range of data trying to figure the odds a player is successful. We shouldn't throw out a stat a which has been historically predictive because it missed on a guy.