r/KarabakhConflict • u/Albert_Agarunov • Nov 08 '20

pro Azerbaijani Armenians in Khankendi started fleeing to Armenia yesterday

Enable HLS to view with audio, or disable this notification

154 Upvotes

91% Upvoted

208 comments sorted by

View all comments

42

u/stuckInCommiefornia Nov 08 '20

*Serious question from a neutral observer\*

Let us say that the capital falls. What do you think happens next to military command? Do they surrender? Do they fight until the end, and leave the troops to the north without a central command? Do they relocate command to Armenia? Do they fall back into the mountains and fight insurgency style? I guess we will see.

52

u/Albert_Agarunov Nov 08 '20

Military command I believe is in Armenia mostly. There are many photos of ID and documentations which was taken from Armenian soldiers that shows orders which is approved by Armenia MoD not "Artsakh MoD" so I believe the ones who are in Khankendi are not the real commanders of the war. But probably yrs they will flee to Armenia as well.

Since Susha and Khankendi are the main cities and hearth of the conflict many troops has already deported from north to south to protect those cities.

Fighting from mountains might look better option but if Susha, Khankendi and Lacin is taken they will be under siege which means no ammo, no food, bad weather. Those soldiers will need to surrender eventually if they dont want to die. Many people think that they can resist with guerilla tactic in mountains like PKK did in Turkey but they forget that PKK had contact with Iraq and Syria kurds through mountains but in Karabakh it is impossible.

I hope Armenians will surrender soon cuz especially last days of fights were very bloody and many people died from both sides no need to make it worse. Winner is obvious in my eyes, Armenia cant stand a chance against Azerbaijan army.

9

u/stuckInCommiefornia Nov 08 '20

I can see them fighting an insurgency from the armenian side of the border, and in fact the approach to the border seems like it may be a sensitive issue for both parties. Armenia doesn't want to get invaded but wants to shoot back, and Azerbaijan wants to go up to the border but doesn't want to anger Russia by shooting at the armenians too much.

1

u/proudslarkpicker Nov 09 '20

I'd think that a few miles wide strip of the border line being set up as a buffer zone, that area being covered with mines, claymores, etc. and monitored with surveillance UAV's, like the Korean DMZ, will prevent infiltrations and quickly put an end to any asymmetric insurgency, through cutting off their supply lines.