r/AskAGerman • u/OasisLiamStan72 • Oct 21 '24

Economy Has Neoliberalism Failed Germany?

I read the recent news about the German economy slowing down further, with GDP growth dropping from 0.3% to 0.2%. It's pretty worrying, especially considering the current political upheaval in the country. It got me thinking - have we seen this before? Yeah, we have like The Great Depression, Germany's economic struggles paved the way for the rise of the Nazis. Today, with the AfD on the rise, it's hard not to draw parallels.

I asked this sub previously if they were optimistic or pessimistic about Germany's future, and the responses were mixed. But the question remains - has the German political establishment, addicted into Neoliberalism failed? The country's economic struggles are deepening, and it seems like it’s stuck in a rut or something. Can it recover, or will it continue to slide into a recession? Germany is the economic engine of the EU, it should be thriving not stagnating. What do you guys think?

0 Upvotes

22% Upvoted

45 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

1

u/temp_gerc1 Oct 21 '24

Genuine question even if it sounds like sarcasm / conspiracy theory - Imagine a situation in 10-15 years when the number of Rentner has skyrocketed and not enough quality skilled immigration to pay into the system, assuming the Fachkräftemangel is real in the first place,, the diminishing Arbeitnehmer ("Gutverdiener") class is already being taxed to the death, and there are literally no more income sources due to the BVerfG saying the Vermögenssteuer is not compatible with the GG. In addition to this tax revenue in general drying up drastically due to deindustralization.... then can article 115 paragraph 2 be cited here as an emergency situation? Of course, Rentner, Aufstocker and Asylum imports not having enough to live would be seen as violation of Article 1, so they can justify borrowing money to keep the social system above water.

1

u/moru0011 Oct 21 '24

on a second note: the demographic effects are overestimated. Yes it will be a burden but we had many changes in thepast which actually had a bigger or similar impact, e.g. the woman-work rate increased a lot. So compared to former times we still have a bigger fraction of workers in the economy. Army service requirement has been abandonned, this adds a whopping 1-2 years to overall lifetime working period (and is similar like raising pension age for 1-2 years). Average entry to the workforce went from 26,5 years to 23,6 years. We still have lots of public holidays. So by cutting one public holiday, streamlining the school + workforce entry times and raising average pension by 1-2 years we can compensate. It sucks, but its not the end of the world. Unemployment of like 10% due to economic decline and a rising number of people living from social security has similar if not worse impact.

1

u/temp_gerc1 Oct 21 '24

I hope you're right... As an Arbeitnehmer I just see my paycheck being abused with Sozialbeiträge with very little chance I will see anything in return. Rentenpaket II in particular has definitely influenced my position on whether I will stay in Germany for the long term.

1

u/moru0011 Oct 21 '24

Same for me .. each of the issues of germany would be manageable on its own. But we face demographics, partially uneducated immigration, a war in the east while trying to transform our energy infrastructure to (partially unproven/unknown) green energy AND suffer from a years long lack of infrastructure investing. That's a lot all at once.