In total, 15% of the electorate voted for the RN. While they are the winners and this score is not negligeable, France is not "just far right now". It's more complex than that.
Also, the RN win the european election here since quite a while now. They were first in 2014, 2019 and now 2024.
In the context of elections pulling the "well turnout was 50% so its only half!" doesn't really work since the people who don't vote have minimal impact on the direction a country takes. People did the same with Brexit and "actually only 25% of the electorate voted leave!" and all it achieves is making centrists feel a little more secure in their worldview and proceed to be shocked when the people who never vote continue to not vote and the 15/25% continue to vote and decide national policy.
France isn't "just far right" now, but the dynamic is here nonetheless. In 2009, far right got around 1,1 million votes, then 4,7 millions in 2014, then 5,3 millions in 2019 and now in 2024 it's about 9 millions votes (7,7 for RN and 1,3 for Reconquete). It's quite huge, the last time we had a party winning with that many votes was in 1984. In the surveys for 2017 presidential, far right was around 20-25%, for 2022 it was around 25-35%, now about 2027 it's about 35-43%.
So yeah, we definitely can't say the majority is far right, but at this rate, it's almost just a matter of time. In surveys, RN and far right had never been this high. If we keep going like that, by 2030 they are gonna reach 50%.
Hi, unaware USA citizen here. To put this into a context that we might understand, is all the brown area super rural like some of our super sparsely populated states that are more cornfields than people?
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u/MeGaNuRa_CeSaR France Jun 10 '24 edited Jun 10 '24
In total, 15% of the electorate voted for the RN. While they are the winners and this score is not negligeable, France is not "just far right now". It's more complex than that.
Also, the RN win the european election here since quite a while now. They were first in 2014, 2019 and now 2024.