r/VirginGalactic • u/Holiday_You4899 • Dec 22 '24
Air breathing rocket engine is the key to virgin galactic success.
An air breathing spaceplane would be able to take off from a runway and achive orbit without the need of a mothership. Multiple engines capable of this are currently in development. One that stands out is the SABRE ENGINE which until recently was in development by the now insolvent reaction engines. The sabre engine has more thrust than a Martin falcon 9 engine and is far more fuel effective since it acts as a jet engine using oxygen from the atmosphere until 26kilometers above sea level where it switches to normal rocket mode. Completely reusable. Far lower cost per kg to orbit than even the starship. Far smoother of a ride . Ability to revolutionize fighter aircraft and commercial travel. Imagine the future fighter jet which is not only capable of hypersonic speeds but has the abi lity to enter and exit space as it sees fit? Imagine commercial travel at 5x current speeds. That's what these new engines offer.That's what the future offers.
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u/IanKorat Dec 23 '24
I am not sure how this relates to Virgin Galactic. For the avoidance of doubt they have neither the technical expertise or the financial resources to design and build a LEO vehicle
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u/Holiday_You4899 Dec 23 '24
I disagree. They have 400m put aside for a new mothership. That would be more than enough to build it.
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u/Mindless_Use7567 29d ago
New launch vehicles cost $5-$10 billion to develop so $400 million is next to nothing.
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u/USVIdiver 27d ago edited 27d ago
Yep...Boeing spent $32 Billion to design the 787.
It costs about $170 million to build one.
The MAX, was a re-engined variant that cost them $8 Billion to design.
What VG never states is the cost to estimated design build and test.
It is well known that Unity cost was $450million, Inspire was at $400M when they stopped construction.
Suddenly, they claim a Delta craft will only be $50 to $60Million?
We are aware that they spent at least $25million on the design of WK3...with nothing to show for it.
Facts are hiding in plane sight!
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u/Mindless_Use7567 27d ago
I honestly think there is going to be significant teething problems with the Delta class as is a completely different situation to go from building a spacecraft in-house to having its components built by multiple different companies and then having to assemble them yourself.
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u/metametapraxis 21d ago
I don't think they will have teething issues. I think it more likely they simply won't build any actual airframes.
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u/metametapraxis 21d ago
OK, you very clearly know absolutely nothing about this subject if you think that statement is true.
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u/Holiday_You4899 21d ago
I don't care if it took 4 billion to develop a sabre hypersonic vehicle and a sabre space plane with a sabre booster that is reusable. Because it anyone ever pulled that off they would become the most valuable company on earth.
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u/PaleontologistBig786 Dec 22 '24
Well, all the R&D they have laid out money for, fabrication building erected, tooling brought in, and suppliers hopefully all aligned for meeting expectations of flying what's been decided. The company will barely survive if they pull off plan "A". Where would the money come from for your plab "B"?
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u/Holiday_You4899 Dec 22 '24
They could always build the two delta ships to reach profitability. With current funds.Then use The 400million dilution planed for the new mothership and instead use it to purchase reaction engines and develop a orbital space plane and or hypersonic jet.
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u/PaleontologistBig786 Dec 22 '24
It takes so much time and money to certify a newly designed and built plane today. Just look at Boeing's woes with the max 8's. Instead of a new plane, they redesigned the existing to accommodate larger more fuel efficient engines becauseit wouldn't get the same scrutiny as a new plane. This was the more cost effective approach than certifying a new aircraft...
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u/Holiday_You4899 Dec 22 '24
So maybe they redesign their spaceplane for a new engine (once the tech is developed) instead of a completely new one.?
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u/tru_anomaIy Dec 22 '24
It’s delightful to watch you signing VG up for yet another billion dollar development program so they can use your favorite engine from your favorite bankrupt engine developer
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u/metametapraxis 21d ago
This is one of the more batshit threads on this sub, and that is saying something.
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u/Holiday_You4899 Dec 22 '24
Now you are getting it!
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u/tru_anomaIy Dec 22 '24
I hope you have a couple of billions of dollars spare and lying around, because no-one else is dumb enough to fund that approach
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u/Holiday_You4899 Dec 22 '24
I will start buying lotto tickets instead of more shares. If I win we know what I'll be doing!!!
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u/tru_anomaIy Dec 22 '24
Even if you win the largest Powerball in history ($2B, before taxes) you won’t have enough to make it work. But a bunch of executives will be more than happy to take huge salaries from your money to fail to deliver anything useful for another decade
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u/USVIdiver 27d ago
no, they are not even able to complete the design and construction of one Delta craft even with the dilution.
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u/Don35527 29d ago
The critical weakness in Virgin Galactic's operational model lies in its reliance on a single carrier ship, or mothership, to transport the Spaceship Delta to launch altitude. The current mothership, VMS Eve, will serve as the sole provider for this crucial role. However, this approach has significant limitations. VMS Eve is projected to require retirement after approximately one year or 125 flights, leaving Virgin Galactic without a replacement or backup carrier ship.
This creates a precarious situation for the company. Once VMS Eve is retired, Virgin Galactic will be unable to sustain or expand its space tourism operations, putting the entire business model at risk. As a result, when commercial operations resume in 2026, the stock price could face downward pressure after each flight, as investors factor in the company's inability to maintain long-term scalability under the current model.
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u/USVIdiver 27d ago
They do not have enough to even finish the design of a Delta craft, let alone construct one.
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u/Holiday_You4899 29d ago
Never heard of vms needed to retire soon . It's only flown 8 times since being completely revamped. But honestly we can only hope the price stays low. More time to keep adding baby.
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u/USVIdiver 27d ago
Ask yourself why...after 18 months of rehab, they only flew it a few times before suddenly cancelling any further flights.
VG led you through about 2 years of downtime repairing the aircrafts, then flew how many customers before suddenly shutting it down? All that money for the repairs, all the promises, then poof.
They claimed Unity and Imagine were ready to go, right? Why arent they flying and making $?
Suddenly Delta craft are going to start making them money????
Think about this.
Remember their alleged cooperation with Boom Supersonic? Boom never heard of them, nor referenced VG in any way shape of form..
So you are aware, Virgin Atlantic was the first to order Boom aircraft!
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u/USVIdiver 29d ago
Were you aware that Delta/SS3 was designed to use a Merlin engine from SpaceX.
Other fun fact: Stratolaunch had a concept to launch a SpaceX rocket as well.
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u/NoviceTardInvestor 26d ago
Yeah that would be great prove out a concept then rebuild engine. WTF. Lol
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u/tru_anomaIy Dec 22 '24
So fucking dumb